Research on the prediction of the development trend of the pet industry based on multi-dimensional analysis

Abstract

This paper focuses on the development of the pet industry in a multi-dimensional analysis, aiming to promote the sustainable development of the domestic pet industry through data collection, model building and question answering.

Question 1 uses the relevant data of the past five years, including per capita disposable income, the number of marriage registrations, the number of people aged 65 and above, the urbanization rate, etc., and reveals the change trend and influencing factors of the number of pet cats and dogs and the output value of the pet industry through visual analysis and correlation analysis. The grey prediction model GM (1,1) was used to predict the number of pet cats and dogs and the output value of the pet industry in the next three years.

Question 2 analyzes the pet cat and dog population data from China, the United States, France, and Germany over the past eleven years. Based on the different trend characteristics of the data, an appropriate exponential smoothing model (single, double, or triple exponential smoothing model) will be selected to predict the pet cat and dog quantities in these four countries for the next three years. And these predicted data reflect the global market demand for pet food.

Question 3 analyzes the development of China's pet food industry based on the global pet demand trend and the actual situation in China. A multiple linear regression model was established, and the significant variables were screened through the stepwise regression method, and the key factors affecting the production and export of pet food were finally determined, and the production and export volume of pet food in the next three years was predicted.

Question 4 builds upon the previous questions to explore the potential impact of the foreign economic policies of European and American countries on the Chinese pet food industry. A corresponding model has been established for analysis, proposing feasible strategies for the sustainable development of the Chinese pet food industry.